Estudo de viabilidade econômica de uma planta de produção de polipropileno no Brasil

Abstract

Competitiveness is present in the Brazilian industrial market, so the economic feasibility analysis becomes essential, which consists of a set of studies with the purpose of influencing the decision of a possible implementation of a new plant so that, if it is in fact implemented, its survival is assured. Therefore, this work aims to analyze the economic viability of an industrial petrochemical propylene polymerization plant in Brazilian lands. In this evaluation, the best strategic location, the national and international market for the product, the initial investment, revenue and production costs were considered. The forecast cash flow was also scrutinized using the Net Present Value, Internal Rate of Return, Time of Return and Minimum Rate of Attractiveness. Finally, a sensitivity analysis was carried out to verify the flexibility of the plant in situations of stress and/or financial uncertainty. In this way the plant proved to be viable.