Modelo para tomada de decisão das rotas de produção do hidrogênio

Abstract

The effective implementation of the hydrogen economy faces considerable challenges, primarily related to its production, storage, and distribution. In the Brazilian context, hydrogen has great potential compared to most countries in the world, given the wealth of natural resources, especially from renewable energy sources, land availability, and water abundance. Thus, it can play a key role in the global hydrogen market, requiring strategic exploration of its production and consumption capabilities. Considering this, an integrated approach that considers economic and environmental aspects has been developed. The use of mathematical modeling and technical-economic-environmental analysis is utilized to evaluate the production and distribution routes of hydrogen using an efficient and economical method capable of identifying different scenarios and conditions. As a result, a decision support tool called the Decision Making Model for Hydrogen (DMMH2) was developed, capable of generating up-to-date information using an extensive database from literature, suppliers, and process simulators. The result values of the cost were shown to be consistent with other analysis tools. Furthermore, it was possible to fill gaps in the modeling method of the hydrogen chain, considering stages and heuristics necessary for analysis systems such as scale adjustment for comparing different technologies, correction of the analysis year, and systematization of the supply chain modeling process in an integrated manner. Overall, the tool can assist and generate insights in H2 supply chain projects with the representation of 33 production routes, 7 storage technologies, and 26 transport configurations.